Approximately 75% of the Metro-North and Long Island Railroad investments are scheduled in the first two years of the program, but only 45% of NYC Transit investments are made in that period. There is a similar dichotomy in the MTA's expansion program. Investments in connecting the LIRR to Grand Central are distributed relatively evenly across all five years, while more than 80% of anticipated investment in the Upper East Side Second Avenue "stubway" is pushed off until 2004. RPA argues that if the region enters a recession during 2000-2004, or if the capital program financing scheme otherwise collapses, then it is the New York City expansion programs that will disproportionately suffer.